World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba betting odds, favorites

World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba betting odds, favorites

The PGA Tour will be moving to Playa del Carmen (Mexico) for the World Wide Technology Championship in Mayakoba. Viktor Hovland won this event in back-to-back seasons while going a combined 43 strokes under par. The course is a par 71 while being relatively short (7,017 yards) compared to many other pro layouts. Here’s a look at the odds of the winning player over the past five seasons:

  • 2017 Patton Kizzire 6000
  • 2018 Matt Kuchar 5000
  • 2019 Brendon Todd 10000
  • 2020 Viktor Hovland 2000
  • 2021 Viktor Hovland 1800

Over the 15 years at this venue, most of the winners weren’t top-tier players, leading to some handsome payoffs for the winner. This event is not open to elite tour players. Only 13 of the top 50 players in the world will play this week.

Here’s a look at the players with the most success at this tournament over the five seasons:

Viktor Hovland ( 1000)

After missing the cut in 2018 and 2019, Hovland picked up his second and third PGA Tour wins at this event over the past two years. Hovland also won the limited-field Hero World Challenge last year, as well as a win on DP World Tour ( Dubai Desert Classic). Over his first two stops on the fall tour, Hovland placed T5 and T21. He has three top fives over his previous eight events, highlighted by the British Open (T4) and Tour Championship (T15). His odds at SI Sportsbook price him as the second favorite behind Scottie Scheffler.

Brendon Todd ( 5000)

Entering this year’s event, Todd ranks 103rd in the Official World Golf Rankings. His game had a revival in the 2019-20 season with two wins, including a victory at Mayakoba. He finished T8 and T11 over his past two trips over this course. Todd posted just one top 5 (3rd) over 28 tournaments in 2022. However, his form did look improved over his previous four events (T9, MC, T28, and T7).

Matt Kuchar ( 6000)

Kuchar won this tournament in 2018, followed by T14 and T22 finishes sandwiched around a skipped entry in 2022. He remains a top 100 player (75th) despite regression over the past three seasons (no wins since the Sony Open in 2019). In 2021-22, his last top-10 finish was in April at the RBC Heritage. This fall, he played in two events (T12 and T29) with four rounds under 70.

Adam Long ( 7500)

In 2019 (T2) and 2020 (T3), Long was a contender at this event, followed by a 22nd-place finish last season. He has one career PGA win (2019 Desert Classic) while ranking 238th worldwide. Long played on the weekend over his previous three tournaments this fall (T30, T53, T44). He didn’t finish in the top 3 in any event in 2022.

Other Notables with Recent High Finishes at Mayakoba

  • Scottie Scheffler (4th, T18)
  • Aaron Wise (T15, 2nd, T10)
  • Billy Horschel (T33, T5, T21, T8)

Top First-Time Starters

  • Collin Morikawa
  • Taylor Montgomery
  • Nick Hardy
  • Dean Burmester
  • Justin Lower

Here are my top contenders based on betting odds at SI Sportsbook:

Scottie Scheffler ( 900)

In his third full season on the PGA Tour, Scheffler developed into one of the best players in the game by winning four events with five other top 3s. He finished with a cool $14 million in winnings. He placed second at three events since his win at the Masters in April, including two at spotlight events (the U.S. Open, and the Tour Championship). Scheffler wasn’t great in his first event of the new season (T45 at the CJ Cup two weeks ago), but his experience at this course should push him closer to the winner’s circle.

Collin Morikawa ( 1600)

After picking off five wins over 44 events from 2019 to 2021, Morikawa failed to deliver a victory over his previous 21 tournaments. Despite two fifth-place finishes, his play has not been top-notch since June’s start (four missed cuts in nine events), T29, and T103). Morikawa failed to make an impact over his last four stroke-play events (T29, T45, T21, T44) dating to the FedEx Cup.

Tony Finau ( 1600)

Finau had a slow start to the 2022 calendar year (three missed cuts over six events) while failing to finish inside the 15 until placing T2 at the Mexico Championship in late April. His play reached a higher ceiling over his previous 13 tournaments, leading to two wins and three other top-5s. Finau will make his debut in the fall.

With many birdies expected, it’s possible to build a DFS roster that includes two stud players. To increase their chances of making it to the weekend, it is a good idea to enter multiple teams. This will allow you to focus on a core group of backend players with high ceilings.

Here’s my roster for this week at DraftKings:

  • Scottie Scheffler ($11,400)
  • Tony Finau ($10,400)
  • S.H. Kim ($7,200)
  • Erik Van Rooyen ($7,200)
  • Ryan Palmer ($6,900)
  • Dylan Frittelli ($6,800)

Best Bet: Tony Finau ( 1600)

Best Value: K.H. Lee ( 4000)

Home Run Swing: S.H. Kim ( 11000)

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